When Donald Trump announced his presidential candidacy I paid it no mind and prepared myself to be entertained. Judging from Trump’s reaction to a certain media outlet’s decision to report his campaign events in its entertainment section, Don would be offended by my reaction, but he shouldn’t be: the man is entertaining, at a minimum.
Early on, blogger Doug Ernst (link) published a nice piece in which he easily demolished Trump’s faux Republican credentials:
Do a little more digging on “The Donald” and you’ll see that the billionaire has held quite a few positions over the years that were more “Clinton” than “Coolidge.”
Donations to Hillary Rodham Clinton make Trump a complete fraud vis-a-vis Conservatism or the true soul of Republican party (which is to say: not the Mitch McConnell / Bob Corker Republican party).
Since then, Trump has shocked us all with exceedingly blunt talk about illegal immigration and its terrible impact on our nation, and although he has made some ridiculous statements (hyperbole is often the great destroyer of otherwise sound arguments), he touched a nerve on what many Americans feel is an ongoing sellout of our sovereignty at the southern border. He is currently leading the field of Republican candidates, despite an almost reckless abandon in his public remarks on a range of topics.
Is he for real? Whom is he for?
The truth is that the public policy endorsement of illegal immigration by most Democrats and many Republicans, such as George W. Bush and his brother Jeb, rips at the fabric of the concept of the Rule of Law, which is the bedrock of civilized life and community; when 12 – 20 million people are given a free pass from our laws, it promotes a kind of anarchy, and tens of millions of Americans have had enough.
He’s speaking for the dead. He’s speaking for my son. He’s speaking for the people who can’t speak for themselves that demand that somebody do something.
…Sabine Durden’s son Dominic died three years ago when he was riding a motorcycle struck by a car driven by an undocumented immigrant from Guatemala. Durden said Trump is a voice for her and others who think the same way.
When I heard Mr. Trump, I started screaming. I started hooting and hollering. Finally, somebody that had the guts to say what millions are thinking but are afraid to say.
And in the wake of Trump’s fiery anti-Mexican illegal immigrant oratory, a young woman was gunned down by an illegal immigrant in San Francisco, a crime made even more morally reprehensible by the fact that the illegal had been allowed to remain free in San Francisco because the city is a proud “sanctuary city” inside the USA, i.e., a city that openly defies our nation’s immigration laws and enforcement personnel.
More than 200 cities, counties, and states across the United States are considered sanctuaries that protect criminal aliens from deportation by refusing to comply with ICE detainers or otherwise impede open communication and information exchanges between their employees or officers and federal immigration agents. <Center for Immigration Studies, link>
What amazes me is how scared the other Republican candidates are on the issue of illegal immigration. They seem to believe that the (legal) latino vote is bigger than it actually is (error number one), believe that mushy statements about illegal immigration will win them latino voters (error number two), and continually take their eyes off of the true electoral imperative, which is the female population (error number three).
Not incidentally, I know several women who are anti-republican voters because of the abortion issue, but who at the same time are anti-illegal immigrant.
But women outnumber latino voters by a factor of 5X (see below)…hey Republicans: win more of the women’s vote and the rest will take care of itself. For example, in 2004, George W. Bush won re-election and earned 48% of the women’s vote against John Kerry’s 51% (not a majority, but not terrible).
Compare this to Mitt Romney against Obama:
This chart says it all.
Romney won the men’s vote by 7 points but lost the women’s vote by 11.
Oh, and by the way, Republicans, do you see how dominant the female vote is as a percent of voters? 53% vs 47% for men, and vs 10% for Hispanic.
IT’S ABOUT WOMEN.
But I digress: what does the Trump candidacy mean for the coming presidential election?
Theory #1 on Trump Candidacy
I have a conspiracy theory that will make you laugh, but I’m not entirely intending to be funny.
Assuming that Trump has no real desire to shoulder the burden of the presidency (he’s having far too good a time in his own world) and the scrutiny on him that it would entail, and recognizing that he has actually contributed money to Hillary Clinton, it may be that his candidacy among Republicans is meant to sabotage Republican chances in the general election, and therefore help pave the way for a Clinton victory.
Yes, it seems bizarre, but when you listen to Trump’s views on many issues, he does not sound as Conservative as he pretends to be.
Even on illegal immigration, he is on record for what sounds very much like amnesty:
Appearing on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” Friday, host Joe Scarborough asked Trump what he would do about the estimated 11 million illegal immigrants living in the country once America secured its southern border. After arguing the real number of illegal immigrants is much higher and saying the first thing America needs to do is “take the bad” illegal immigrants and “get them the hell out,” Trump sounded like he was open to providing some type of pathway to legalization for the remainder.
“And then the other ones — and I’m a very big believer in merit system, I have to tell you,” Trump said. “Because some of these people have been here, they’ve done a good job, you know, in some cases sadly they’ve been living under the shadows.” <Daily Caller, link>
Who is the real Donald Trump?
Theory #2 on Trump Candidacy
If theory number one is incorrect, and Trump is in it as a legitimate Republican, the question then is, does he really want the nomination?
I don’t think so, and believe it to be at best a massive vanity project put on my a man who is in love with his own voice and his own visage.